UFC light heavyweight champion Alex Pereira is set to defend his title against Khalil Rountree on October 5 at UFC 307, hosted at the Delta Center in Salt Lake City, USA.
Bookmakers favor the champion, citing his superior technique and physical attributes. Alex is in excellent form, and if he maintains his defense, he is expected to secure the victory.
Khalil emerged as an unexpected title contender, having faced top-15 opponents only twice. Some analysts question whether the American is prepared for a championship bout, especially as it marks his first five-round fight.
Alex Pereira
- Credentials: Current UFC light heavyweight champion. Black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and kickboxing. Former UFC middleweight champion. Former Glory middleweight and light heavyweight champion.
- Record: 13 fights, 11 wins, 2 losses.
Pereira is ready to step into the octagon at any moment, not out of overconfidence but due to a solid understanding of his capabilities. His successful rematch with Jiří Procházka demonstrated his ongoing development, and he’s expected to be in even better shape for the fight against Rountree.
The Brazilian is well-versed in Muay Thai techniques, which his opponent also employs, and knows how to counter aggressive tactics.
What to Expect from Pereira Against Rountree
From long range, Pereira will likely unleash a barrage of front kicks and low kicks. When Khalil initiates an attack, Alex may retreat and counter with a knockout high kick or cross. He’ll use constant straight punches to various levels to distract the challenger. In mid-range exchanges, expect sharp jabs and heavy hooks from Pereira.
The champion might clinch with Rountree to deliver powerful knees and could attempt a trip takedown against the cage. He’ll aim to fight from a safe distance, breaking down the challenger with middle kicks. As Rountree tires, Alex may go on the offensive with devastating hooks or uppercuts.
Pereira’s Chances of Victory
Pereira holds a strong advantage due to his technical prowess in Muay Thai and tactical approach. While there’s a risk of him absorbing a knockout punch because of occasional defensive lapses, reaching his head won’t be easy. He’ll likely avoid unnecessary brawls, opting instead to neutralize Rountree before he can close the distance.
With faster strikes and a reach advantage, Pereira has a good chance of outpointing Rountree. Additionally, his knockout power surpasses that of his opponent.
Khalil Rountree
- Credentials: Ranked eighth in the UFC light heavyweight division and third in knockouts within the division. Specializes in Muay Thai.
- Record: 19 fights, 13 wins, 5 losses, 1 no contest.
Rountree’s ascent into the UFC top 10 began in 2021 with a win over Modestas Bukauskas. It was his second fight after a brief hiatus during which he focused on his mental game, returning with increased aggression.
While some may view him as an underdog, Rountree brings skills that could challenge the champion.
What to Expect from Rountree Against Pereira
Khalil will likely adopt a low stance, throwing series of jabs. He may launch sharp lead hooks and add powerful middle kicks. Expect a high volume of low kicks and side kicks targeting Pereira’s knees.
After dodging strikes, Rountree could deliver strong overhands or swiftly close the distance with combinations of hooks. If he lands heavy shots, he’ll follow up with body hooks and crushing uppercuts. Aware that an immediate knockout is unlikely, he’ll initially focus on leg and body strikes to wear down Pereira.
Rountree will aim to counter Pereira’s advances with front kicks and lateral movement. He’ll maintain a high guard, use slips, and check low kicks to mitigate damage.
Rountree’s Chances of Victory
Rountree’s aggressive style, characterized by swift engagements and heavy strikes, gives him a puncher’s chance for an early finish. Landing a series of powerful punches could lead to a knockout win. However, his approach can be predictable, which an experienced striker like Pereira may exploit.
To improve his odds, Rountree needs to be more elusive and strategic. Winning by decision could be challenging due to cardio issues that have surfaced in later rounds of past fights.
Pereira vs. Rountree Fight Prediction
Rountree is expected to manage his energy to effectively throw jabs and explosive combinations for the first three rounds. Pereira, meanwhile, will aim to dismantle him with heavy kicks and straight punches.
The initial half of the fight may be closely contested, with a higher likelihood of a knockout occurring during this period. A bet on the fight lasting under 3.5 rounds seems reasonable.
The later rounds will likely favor Pereira, given his experience in championship bouts. Rountree may struggle to close the distance against a technician like Alex, who also holds a size advantage. For these reasons, Pereira is the favored fighter in this matchup.